Exploring the shifting global macroeconomic climate and its impact on the Arab region amid geopolitical tensions, trade fluctuations, socioeconomic challenges, and security concerns, the report introduces machine-learning nowcasting models that yield near-real-time GDP estimates, fostering agile policy responses.
This report reviews the global macroeconomic climate and its implications for the Arab region. It presents the Arab regional macroeconomic outlook in light of geopolitical and trade uncertainties, socioeconomic challenges and security concerns, focusing on key indicators in all Arab countries for the 2025–2027 period. It also introduces the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia machine-learning-based nowcasting models piloted for Egypt and Saudi Arabia. By integrating conventional and alternative data sources, these models enable near-real-time GDP estimation. This provides a scalable framework for evidence-based economic assessment in the region and allows for enhanced policy responsiveness.